Because the group is small, this anomaly has little effect on the overall vote margin. Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen is the choice of 4%, while 8% say they would vote for none of these candidates, don’t know how they would vote or decline to say. In this poll, the 18-29-year-old sample is more Republican and more likely to vote for Trump than has typically been the case. An additional 6% said someone else or declined to say how they will vote. Among likely voters, 91% say their minds are made up while 6% say they might change their minds. Table 11: Favorable or unfavorable view of Trump, January-October 2020, Table 12: Favorable or unfavorable view of Biden, January-October 2020. Table 10 shows approval, since June, of Trump’s handling of protests since the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis. MILWAUKEE – A new Marquette Law School poll of likely Wisconsin voters finds little change in preference or attitudes following the first presidential debate and after President Donald Trump tested positive for COVID-19. Marquette University The new poll results were announced in a video conference between poll director Charles Franklin and Mike Gousha. The margin of error is +/-4.3 percentage points for the full sample. Table 9: Favorable or unfavorable view of Black Lives Matter movement, June-October 2020. Tables 25 and 26 show the recent trends in these measures. A complete news release and poll data, including toplines and slides, will be available shortly after 12:30 p.m. on the Marquette Law School Poll website. #mulawpoll — MULawPoll (@MULawPoll) October 7, … Table 15: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of his job as president, May-October 2020. MILWAUKEE, Wis. (WBAY) - The last Marquette Law School Poll before the election indicates another close presidential race in Wisconsin. Table 13: Favorable or unfavorable view of Pence, September-October 2020, Table 14: Favorable or unfavorable view of Harris, September-October 2020. The full trend since March is shown in Table 13. In October, 72% agree that masks should be required in public places, while 26% disagree with requiring masks. Approval is 3 points higher than in early October, with no change in disapproval. Table 19: Favor or oppose the Supreme Court’s declaring the ACA unconstitutional, by party identification, October 2020. The results range from a margin for Biden of 3% in a lower turnout than expected, a margin for Biden of 4% in a high turnout in which all registered voters voted, and the previously mentioned 5% Biden margin in our standard likely-voter model. The trend in approval and disapproval is shown in Table 19. Table 27: Family financial situation, January-September 2020. Favorable and unfavorable views of Trump have been stable in recent months. A substantial 37% say they don’t know how serious Trump’s illness is. Because vote by age has been an important topic, Tables 14 and 15 show the vote by age for this sample and compare it to vote by age for the last three polls combined, using likely voters. The Marquette Law Poll is a public policy initiative of Marquette University Law School.. In September, 51% approved and 43% disapproved. A complete news release and poll data, including toplines and slides, will be available at 12:30 p.m. on the Marquette Law School Poll website. Eighty-two percent of Democrats are very or somewhat confident the vote will be accurately counted, while 18% are not too or not at all confident. This poll interviewed 805 registered Wisconsin voters by landline or cell phone from Sept. 30-Oct. 4, 2020. A complete news release and poll data, including toplines and slides, will be available shortly after 12:30 p.m. on the Marquette Law School Poll website. In August, 69% supported a mask requirement and 29% were opposed. Table 4 shows how worries have varied since March, when the percent very or somewhat worried was at the highest level seen so far. Among Biden voters, 80% expect him to win and 6% expect Trump to win. Judge Amy Coney Barrett has been nominated to fill the vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court created by the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. This appears to be noisy sampling variation. If all age groups are weighted to match their long-term partisan composition, the overall vote margin changes by only 1 percentage point, to 48% Biden and 42% for Trump. The Marquette Law School Poll is the most extensive statewide polling project in Wisconsin history. Democrat Joe … In the new late-October poll, 50% approve and 43% disapprove of Wisconsin Gov. Partisanship excluding those who lean has been 30% Republican and 29% Democratic, with 40% independent. Table 21: Favorable or unfavorable view of Black Lives Matter movement, June-October 2020, Approval of Evers’ job performance and handling of coronavirus. They were also announced via Marquette Law poll’s Twitter. 1250 W. Wisconsin Ave. Approval of protests over police violence against Black Americans declined from June to early August, prior to events in Kenosha, but barely moved following the late-August Kenosha shootings and protests, as shown in Table 8. By party identification. Through debates, symposia, public lectures, panels, conferences, and the Law School's On the Issues series, Marquette University Law School has established itself as a leading venue for serious civil discourse about law and public policy matters affecting the region and beyond. In October, 36% say they approve of the way the Wisconsin legislature is handling its job, while 50% say they disapprove. The partisan makeup of the sample, including those who lean to a party, is 44% Republican, 45% Democratic and 10% independent. While twice as many respondents say former Vice President Joe Biden did better in the debate as say Trump did better, the shift in the vote margin since early September is a single point. March-October 2020. The results are little changed from the Marquette Law School poll conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 4, in which Biden was the choice of 47%, Trump the choice of 42% and Jorgensen the choice of 4%. Tony Evers’ job performance. While substantial majorities in all regions support a mask requirement, there are partisan differences which have persisted since August, as shown in Table 7. There is less variation in support of presidential candidates than in either the 2012 or 2016 summer and fall Marquette Law School polls. Following Trump’s diagnosis, 52% say both Trump and Biden should stop holding in-person campaign rallies, while 37% say rallies are safe and should continue. Approval of protests over police violence against Black Americans declined from June to early August, prior to a police officer’s shooting Jacob Blake in Kenosha, but barely moved following the Kenosha shooting and protests, as shown in Table 20. Table 10: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of protests, June-October 2020. MILWAUKEE, Wis. (WBAY) - The last Marquette Law School Poll before the election indicates another close presidential race in Wisconsin. Among Republicans, 7% say they are voting for Biden, while 86% are voting for Trump, 3% for Jorgensen and 4% undecided or declining to say. Partisan divides are vivid in new Law School Poll results, Wedge Issues podcast: Charles Franklin on polls, partisanship and public opinion This is little changed from October 2016, when 34% said they had stopped talking and 65% said they had not. Table 2: Regardless of which candidate you happen to support, who do you think did the best job in the first presidential debate, Joe Biden or Donald Trump, or didn’t you pay much attention to the debate? Another 7% said they would vote for none of these candidates, didn’t know how they would vote or declined to say. MILWAUKEE — Marquette University Law School Poll Director Charles Franklin will present results of a new statewide poll on Wednesday, Sept. 9, via a video conversation with Mike Gousha available at 12:15 p.m. A complete news release and poll data, including toplines and slides, will be available shortly after 12:30 p.m. on the Marquette Law School Poll website. Table 8: Favorable or unfavorable view of Pence, September-October 2020, Table 9: Favorable or unfavorable view of Harris, September-October 2020. Few partisans give the edge to the other party’s candidate, although more than one in five Republicans and Independents volunteer that both candidates did badly, while only 6% of Democrats agree. Jorgensen was not included prior to September. Table 25: Change in economy over past 12 months, Table 26: Outlook for the economy over the next 12 months. The new poll interviewed 806 registered voters in Wisconsin. Table 10: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of his job as president, March-October 2020, Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic. Table 17: Do you think the decision last spring to close schools and businesses and to restrict the size of public gatherings was an appropriate response to the coronavirus outbreak or was it an overreaction that did more harm than good? Before looking to the future, Director of Marquette Law School Poll Charles Franklin is taking a deep dive into voter trends in 2020. Table 3: Do you think the Senate should vote on the nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court before the presidential election or wait until after the election to decide whether or not to vote on the nomination? #mulawpoll" Kevin is the associate director for university communication in the Office of Marketing and Communication. MILWAUKEE, Wis. (WBAY) - The last Marquette Law School Poll before the election indicates another close presidential race in Wisconsin. Among all registered voters polled, 41% say Biden did the best job in the first presidential debate on Sept. 29, while 20% say Trump did best. A complete news release and poll data, including toplines and slides, will be available at 12:30 p.m. on the Marquette Law School Poll website. A complete news release and poll data, including toplines and slides, will be available at 12:30 p.m. on the Marquette Law Poll website. Local Government Dane County reaffirms stay-at-home order as others roll theirs back Table 6: Favorable or unfavorable view of Trump, May-Oct. 2020, Table 7: Favorable or unfavorable view of Biden, May-October 2020. Table 1: Vote among likely voters, May-October 2020. Since June, the percent who are very worried has fluctuated, seemingly in line with periods of increasing or decreasing numbers of new cases of COVID-19 in the state, while the number of those not at all worried has stabilized close to 20%. Tables 4 and 5 shows trends on this question since June. A Marquette Law School Poll showed virtually no movement in voter attitudes toward mass protests; Democrats say … Results and commentary will be available on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account beginning at 12:15 p.m. An advisory detailing media availability will … Forty-four percent think the Senate should vote on this nomination before the November elections, while 51% think the Senate should wait until after the election to decide whether to vote on the nomination. By contrast, almost half of Democrats expect to proceed absentee by mail, as shown in Table 21, more even than on Election Day. March-October 2020, Supreme Court nomination and upcoming Affordable Care Act case. By a 2-to-1 margin, voters say Biden did a better job in the debate. As of late October, 47% approve and 52% disapprove of Trump’s job performance. Table 13: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy, March-October 2020. Tony Evers handled events in Kenosha following the police shooting of Jacob Blake in August, while 44% disapprove of his response. If they are favorable to both or not favorable to both, they remain unallocated and remain undecided. Table 18: Tony Evers’ job approval, January-October 2020. These results are shown in Table 5. Table 12 shows approval since June of Trump’s handling of mass protests since the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis. The ongoing coronavirus pandemic and how comfortable people are with reopening schools are also covered in the poll. The partisan makeup of the sample, excluding those who lean to a party, is 30% Republican, 29% Democratic and 40% percent independent. Table 17: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of the coronavirus outbreak, March-October 2020, Approval of Evers’ job performance and handling of the coronavirus pandemic. The poll will also look at how people have responded to the protests in support of the Black Lives Matter movement and how those responses have changed since June, as well as feelings about police use of deadly force and how President Trump has responded to the protests. Fifty-two percent say they are comfortable eating inside at a restaurant, while 47% say they are uncomfortable doing so. Among Trump supporters, 93% say their minds are made up. In the new October poll, 64% say they always wear a mask when in a public place, 20% say they do so most of the time, 12% do so only now and then and 3% say they never wear a mask when in public. Among Republicans, 61% say they are very or somewhat confident the votes will be accurately counted and 37% are not too confident or not at all confident. The vote margins may be sensitive to assumptions about turnout. As of October, 44% approve and 52% disapprove. None of the poll-to-poll changes in support is outside the margin of error. Gousha, an award-winning broadcast journalist, is the Law School’s distinguished fellow in law and public policy. Results and commentary will be available on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account, beginning at 12:15 p.m. An advisory detailing media availability will be released at a later date. Table 18: Vote to confirm Barrett to the Supreme Court by party identification, October 2020. The sample included 805 registered voters in Wisconsin, interviewed by cell phone or landline, with a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percentage points. Contact Kevin at (414) 288-4745 or [email protected]. Table 8: Approval of protests against police shootings, June-October 2020. The poll was conducted Sept. 8-15. In late October, the percentage living comfortably rose while the percentages just getting by or struggling declined. After an initial approval rating in March of over 50% for his handling of the coronavirus outbreak, Trump’s approval rating has fallen to 41% in October, unchanged from September. … Table 7: Support for requiring masks by party identification by poll, August and October 2020, Views of protests, BLM and Evers’ response to events in Kenosha. This is the first time since January 2019, when the legislature’s job approval was first asked, that more disapprove than approve. Republicans and independents have been relatively stable in their type of ballot since August, though independents are a bit more likely to say they will vote in person in the October survey. Table 16 shows how worries have varied since March, when the percent very or somewhat worried was at the highest level seen so far, while the number of those not at all concerned has stabilized close to 20 percent for some time. After six months of elevated approval ratings, approval of Gov. In October, 52% approve and 42% disapprove of his job performance. Another 7% say they will vote for none of these candidates, don’t know how they will vote or declined to say. Those findings are an outlier, as FiveThirtyEight noted Wednesday.N o other poll of the state showed that size of a margin for Biden since June. A third of respondents think Trump has mild symptoms from COVID-19, while slightly more say they don’t yet know how ill he is. Through debates, symposia, public lectures, panels, conferences, and the Law School's On the Issues series, Marquette University Law School has established itself as a leading venue for serious civil discourse about law and public policy matters affecting the region and beyond. This is a decline from three weeks ago, when 56% approved and 38% disapproved. Tables 13 and 14 shows favorable and unfavorable ratings for Pence and Harris this fall. Given the consistency of Biden’s margin in multiple polls this year, it is likely that the 18-29-year-old result in October is a sampling anomaly rather than a real change. Table 16: Taking into consideration both your risk of contracting it and the seriousness of the illness, how worried are you personally about experiencing coronavirus? This is a sharply partisan issue, as shown in Table 18. Forty-nine percent have a favorable view of Biden and 46% have an unfavorable view of him. News and results will be available on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account beginning at 12:15 p.m. An advisory detailing media availability will be released at a later date. By party identification and by year, October 2016 and October 2020, Table 25: Change in economy over past 12 months, January-October 2020, Table 26: Outlook for the economy over the next 12 months, January-October 2020. Less than a half of 1% say both candidates did well. Table 28: Evers’ recent favorability trend, Table 29: Sen. Tammy Baldwin’s recent favorability trend, Table 30: Sen. Ron Johnson’s recent favorability trend. There were 700 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points. Favorable views of the Black Lives Matter movement also declined from June to August, but has remained fairly stable since August, as shown in Table 21. Milwaukee, WI 53233 Asked about the vice-presidential candidates, all following the announcement of Trump’s illness, 33% say they are very confident and 23% are somewhat confident in Vice President Mike Pence’s ability to perform the duties of president, while 12% are not very confident and 21% are not at all confident. There are 749 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points. Table 4: Does ‘Cares about people like you’ describe Trump, June-October 2020, Table 5: Does ‘Cares about people like you’ describe Biden, June-October 2020. The full trends for favorability of Trump and Biden are shown in Tables 6 and 7. March-October 2020. Handling of the economy remains Trump’s strongest area of approval, with 51% approval and 45% disapproval in October. There has been little change in regions since August, except for the non-Fox Valley north and west of the state (“Rest of the state”), where support has increased. Results and commentary will be available on Twitter via the @MULawPoll account, beginning at 12:15 p.m. An advisory detailing media availability will be released at a later date. Handling of the economy remains Trumps strongest area of approval, with 51% approval and 48% disapproval in the new poll, a 3-point increase in disapproval. Under Franklin's direction as a visiting professor at Marquette, the poll became the … The margin of error is +/-4.2 percentage points for the full sample. In March report another problem, please contact shelby.williamson @ marquette.edu the Marquette Law poll ’ s Law and policy! 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